The US Open 2025 projected cut line is one of the most talked-about numbers right now. After Round 1 at Oakmont, it looks like the cut may land around +4 over par. That means only players at +4 or better will likely move on to the weekend.
What the Cut Line Means
In the US Open, only the top 60 players and ties make the cut after two rounds. Players outside that group go home. There is no 10-stroke rule like in past years. The cut line decides who continues and who doesn’t.

Oakmont Is Brutal
Oakmont is one of the hardest golf courses in the world. It’s long, rough is thick, and greens are fast. Most players struggled in Round 1. The average score was over 74 on a par 70 course. Only a few players finished under par.
US Open 2025 Projected Cut Line at Oakmont
Right now, the US Open 2025 projected cut line is +4. Early in the day, it was at +3, but scores rose fast. As more players finished, the number moved to +4. Experts say it could still shift slightly, but not much.

Top Players in Danger
Several big names are close to the cut line:
- Rory McIlroy: +3
- Bryson DeChambeau: +4
- Scottie Scheffler: +5
- Jon Rahm: +4
- Collin Morikawa: +3
These players need strong second rounds to avoid missing the cut.
Can the Cut Line Still Change?
Yes, it can. Weather, course changes, and late tee times can all shift things. If Friday’s scores go higher, the US Open 2025 projected cut line might move to +5. But for now, +4 is the safe mark.
Past Cut Lines at Oakmont and Other Courses
Oakmont has a history of high-cut lines:
- 2016: +6
- 2007: +10
Other recent US Opens:
- 2024 (Pinehurst): +5
- 2023: +2
- 2022: +3
Oakmont plays harder than most. That’s why this year’s cut is high again.
Reactions from Fans and Experts
Fans are talking about the tough conditions. Many say the course is too hard. Some praise Oakmont for testing the best. On social media, people are calling it “classic US Open golf.”
Golf analysts say +4 is a fair cut line based on the setup. Betting markets have shifted odds as players struggle to stay close.
What to Watch in Round 2
Watch players sitting at +3 to +5. They’re on the edge. A solid round keeps them in. One bad hole can knock them out.
Key names to watch:
- McIlroy
- DeChambeau
- Scheffler
- Finau
- Thomas
The weather could make Friday harder. Afternoon groups may face the stronger wind.
Final Thoughts
The US Open 2025 projected cut line is likely to stay at +4. Oakmont’s tough layout is forcing even top players to grind. Only those who play smart and steady will succeed.
As Round 2 unfolds, scores will shift. But for now, if you’re above +4, you’re likely heading home. The cut line is clear. The pressure is on.